Archive for May, 2010
Speculation Abounds as Pound’s Value Falls
Even after four straight weeks of the pound’s value falling against the US dollar, the Bank of England continues to shoo away talk of impending inflation. This has fueled banter in the press over the the idea that UK interest rates could remain low while those in government attempt to take aim at the current budget deficit. With gilt yields continuing to drop to the lowest levels of 2010 due to an increasingly tense view the EU’s debt crisis, risk aversion is triggering investors to pursue the assets they view as safest. Prices for UK consumers have risen nearly 4 per cent between April 2009 and April 2010, exacerbating debt levels for UK households as product prices rise with no corresponding rise in income levels.
This situation is what lead Governor Mervyn King to pen an open letter of explanation to George Osborne, the incoming Chancellor of the Exchequer. The rise in consumer prices has exceeded the central bank’s desired target of only 3 per cent, causing public concern and requiring King’s direct response regarding the situation.
This, in collusion with the Bank of England’s recent Monetary Policy Committee meeting on May 10 has lead many economists both domestic and foreign to speculate that the UK is currently in a crucial phase from which two futures are possible. In the first, the UK continues to rise from the ashes of the global economic crisis first begun in 2008, leveraging the fall out and bettering not only the consumer economy, but the buying power of the pound. In the second, a misstep could mean that the committee’s unanimous vote to keep interest rates low while refusing to purchase more debt send the economy off kilter, creating a second round of trouble for the British consumer base.
With uncertainty now running rampant, consumer level experts are advising that those households experiencing debt take advantage of a debt management plan while these offer a decent road to recover rather than hold off in the hopes of better terms. It’s a win win situation for most consumer households looking to restructure their finances at this time. If the economy gets worse, the DMP can be adjusted, but if it betters it can also be adjusted and possibly paid down faster.
Just as the UK itself continues to be advised by financial experts to tighten its fiscal policies to preserve the pounds values versus both the dollar and the euro, UK consumers are being encouraged to get their monetary houses in order to ready for either coming economic change.
Global Credit Crisis Still Possible Say Analysts
Those living in the United Kingdom and Europe are well aware that there has been a credit crisis for these countries and that things are looking up after some very big maneuvers by the nations involved. The shock and aw style tactics managed to allay investors fears for a while, but financial experts are not so sure that this is going to be a long term solution.
While almost a full $1 trillion has been thrown at the problem of ailing credit for these countries, it is still a huge problem of massive debt in Europe. This directly affects its neighbor, Britain, where millions are still struggling under the burden of massive consumer level debt. While Individual Voluntary Agreements have helped a myriad consumers out of their struggle and to get back on their feet, not everyone is taking advantage of this and part of the fault for that lies on the nations in which they live. After all, leaders are supposed to lead by example and the example in the global credit crisis has been less than extremely disciplined say many financial analysts.
Financial meltdowns in the UK have been happening all around and if one looks closely, it is easy to see that there could be problems here that are closing in on the levels that Portugal, Spain or even Greece are experiencing. Wall Street has been less than supportive of the debt solutions in Europe and since the global community is now so interconnected, it could be a struggle for one country if another stumbles and falls.
The fact is, say financial experts such as Professor of Economics James Hines, many want someone else to pay the bills and this is precisely what has happened in regards to Greece. Solvency issues must be dealt with quickly, the professor says, but without the right tools and the right attitude towards getting the problem fixed at the root level, Europe and even the UK could face problems in the future.
Follow through is the most important step, say British financial experts, and this must occur at the consumer level and the national level, too. Consumers looking for a safety net need to have the lowest possible amount of debt that they can and seeking solutions will help see them through a global credit crunch many experts around the world are still suspecting may be on the horizon.
Oracle of Omaha Wouldn’t Want Job of Fixing British Debt
It appears that debt in the United Kingdom has risen to such a degree that it has attracted the attention of those financial experts overseas. The US billionaire Warren Buffet, known by his nickname the Oracle of Omaha in his home country, has announced that he has no jealousy over the job of Britain’s new Prime Minister. The new leader’s work will be cut out for him, according to Buffet, simply because so many unpopular budget changes will have to be made in an effort to keep the UK government somewhere near safe financial ground.
Buffet has been known through the years for his quiet yet outspoken message against Wall Street for its excesses. Living a modest life, Buffet has tried to lead by example and that particular lifestyle has made him a billionaire rarely equaled in terms of wealth by any other individual. His Berkshire Hathaway company meetings are well known and this meeting saw 40,000 investors attending. The bond market, he pointed out to his listeners, could well end up poorly for the UK if public spending can’t be brought under control.
The US faces equally steep budget issues according to Buffet, primarily being the deficits that are so large they will affect the economics of the global community itself. With such massive economic power across the globe, Buffet believes that both the UK and US could cause effects so large if they do not control their debt that it will be more than record numbers of citizens seeking bankruptcy. It could well end up tipping the world on its side.
Unlike Greece, the billionaire was quoted as saying, Britain has the ability to print its own currency which is a very important asset. Still, both Buffet and his partner Charlie Munger agree that the UK is doing a better job than the US did at first, thus giving hope to those UK citizens who have been entering into debt management plans. As those citizens fix their own financial woes, they will be ahead of the curve from those who have waited to deal with problems thinking that the proverbial sky was falling.
UK Insolvency Figures Not Dropping Any Time Soon
Trouble does not look to be lessening for UK households and businesses any time soon, financial analysts say. Recent studies have shown that insolvency figures are still at record levels and have not yet begun to peak. All through 2009, UK debt continued to mount and even with consumers taking strong action to reduce their debt loads, more and more are turning to IVAs and bankruptcy as the consumer credit crisis continues. While the global recession may well be winding to a close, the UK’s debt woes are longer in term, experts have stated in the press.
While the economy itself may turn the corner now, the debt consumers deal with today is usually from a year or more ago and has been accruing interest throughout its life. Various UK insolvency organizations are publishing figures which show that more borrowers and entering into new agreements designed to ease their debt over time, but results will take a while to heal their financial problems.
With over 134,000 people entering insolvency in 2009 alone, the nation’s level of debtors is growing at a frightening pace. The easy credit of the last half of the millennium’s first decade encouraged far too many borrowers to bite off more than they could chew and the results are painful to see. The first quarter of 2010 has been rather gruesome with a full 35,000 individuals reaching insolvency so far.
The coming months should show more are hitting the insolvency threshold, say analysts, due to the fact that financial fallout is on going even in the current economic recovery. Not all sectors of the UK economy are fairing equally well which means jobs continue to be scarce in certain segments of the market.











